"And today's update is based on such constant scrutiny of our seasonal hurricane forecast."Īccumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE, is a scientific parameter that measures the severity of a hurricane season. " AccuWeather meteorologists are constantly monitoring, refining and integrating new data into our predictions," AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said. They are forecasting a total of 12 to 16 named tropical systems in the Atlantic hurricane basin when the final tally is in this season, including five to seven hurricanes, two or three of which may strengthen into major hurricanes (Category 3 strength with winds of 111 mph or higher) and three or four direct impacts to the United States. 2, predicting what they expect to take place over the nearly three months remaining until hurricane season officially winds down on Nov. These two storms kicked off what is expected to be a bustling period of tropical activity in the weeks to come.ĪccuWeather meteorologists issued an update to the seasonal forecast on Sept. The first hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season took shape as Danielle - the fourth named storm of the year - strengthened on Friday and Earl - the fifth named system of the year - formed, ending a historically tranquil stretch across the basin. Disclaimer UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs To learn more about OCHA's activities, please visit. In La Habana, one of the six provinces under a hurricane alert, moderate rainfall and strong wind gusts have left several areas in the island’s capital of the same name without power. As of 27 September, Ian has reportedly left at least two people dead and thousands without electricity. According to local and international media outlets, Pinar del Río, the westernmost province of Cuba, bore the brunt of Ian’s wrath, with significant damage reported across the province. As per WFP-ADAM, close to 600,000 people were exposed to wind speeds of 120 Km/h or higher. Six western provinces have been affected and more than 61,000 people have been evacuated from high-risk areas. On 26 September at 7:00 pm EST, Ian made direct landfall in Pinar Del Río province, battering large swaths of western Cuba as a powerful Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h. Ian’s rapidly changing track posed challenges for preparedness and response operations in the territory, with preliminary assessments showing relatively minor flood-related impacts, especially in low-lying coastal areas. Power outages and disruption to water systems were reported, however, as of 27 September, electricity and water have been close to fully restored. In the Cayman Islands, Ian moved south-west of the islands as a Category 1 Hurricane, prompting road and dock closures as debris generated from flooding blocked access points. While the tropical storm watch for Jamaica was lifted as Ian veered away from the island, a flash flood warning across several parishes remained in effect until the morning hours of 26 September, with localized flooding in some parishes, such as Clarendon, prompting the activation of emergency shelters. In Jamaica, Ian moved south of the island, producing around three to six inches of rainfall, storm surge and swells that affected coastal communities. The system rapidly intensified as it moved across Cuba, becoming the fourth hurricane and second major hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. The system moved across the Caribbean Sea generating scattered showers over northern Venezuela, northern Colombia, Aruba, Bonaire, Curaçao and parts of Central America. On 24 September, Tropical Depression Nine became more organized and strengthened into Tropical Storm Ian. The government of Cuba is responding to priority needs and assessing the situation. Hurricane Ian impacted Cuba as a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, leaving damage not yet quantified. Hurricane Ian is now a Category 3 hurricane on the SaffirSimpson scale with maximum sustained winds near 195 km/h.Īt 2:30 am EDT, Ian became a major hurricane (Category 3 or above) as the system approached western Cuba.Īlthough little change in strength is expected as Ian moves across Cuba, further strengthening is expected as Ian emerges over the south-eastern Gulf of Mexico.
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